The 2025 Bad Homburg Open, a key WTA 500 grass-court event leading into Wimbledon, reaches its round of 16 on June 25, 2025, with a thrilling slate of matches at the TC Bad Homburg in Germany. Day 4 features standout clashes, including a high-stakes duel between No. 3 seed Mirra Andreeva and Clara Tauson. Other notable matchups include Donna Vekic versus Linda Noskova, Ekaterina Alexandrova against Maria Sakkari, and Elina Svitolina facing Beatriz Haddad Maia. Below are predictions for these four matches, with a detailed focus on Andreeva vs. Tauson, based on player form, head-to-head records, and grass-court suitability.
Mirra Andreeva vs. Clara Tauson: A Grass-Court Showdown
In a highly anticipated second-round match, 18-year-old Russian prodigy Mirra Andreeva, ranked No. 7, faces Denmark’s No. 23 Clara Tauson at 11:30 a.m. ET on Spielbank Bad Homburg Centre Court. Andreeva, who won WTA 1000 titles in Dubai and Indian Wells in 2025, boasts a 31-9 record this year but has struggled on grass, suffering a 2-6, 7-5, 6-0 loss to Magdalena Frech in Berlin’s first round. Her 6-4 grass record since 2023, including a Wimbledon fourth-round run, shows potential but highlights inconsistency, with four straight grass losses over two years. Her aggressive baseline game and 75% service game win rate are strengths, but her 41.07% second-serve point win rate and adaptation to grass’s low bounce remain challenges.
Tauson, 22, has a 24-12 record in 2025, with a title in Auckland and a runner-up finish to Andreeva in Dubai. Her grass-court form is stronger, with a 3-1 record this season, including a Nottingham quarterfinal and a first-round win over Frech (6-7(6), 6-3, 6-3) in Bad Homburg, where she fired 16 aces. Tauson’s flat groundstrokes, steady serve, and 49.35% second-serve return win rate suit grass, and her 51% breakpoint save rate under pressure gives her a mental edge. However, Andreeva leads their head-to-head 3-0, with wins in Dubai (7-6(1), 6-1), Indian Wells (6-4, 6-4), and Rome (5-7, 6-3, 6-2), all in 2025, leveraging her 35.29% breakpoint conversion rate.
Despite Tauson’s grass-court comfort and recent form, Andreeva’s superior match win rate (73.85% vs. Tauson’s 59.02%) and ability to outlast Tauson in baseline exchanges make her the favorite. Tauson’s serving prowess could push the match to three sets, but Andreeva’s clutch performance in their prior meetings tips the scales. Prediction: Mirra Andreeva in 3 sets.
Donna Vekic vs. Linda Noskova
Former finalist Donna Vekic, ranked No. 45, takes on rising star Linda Noskova at 9:30 a.m. ET. Vekic, who lost the 2024 Bad Homburg final to Diana Shnaider, defeated her in the first round this year (6-3, 6-2). Her 56-37 career grass record and experience give her an edge, but a 9-15 2025 season suggests inconsistency. Noskova, with a 3-1 grass record this year and a Nottingham quarterfinal, beat Ajla Tomljanović in straight sets here. Her poise in tight matches is promising, but Vekic’s grass-court savvy and 1-0 head-to-head edge (2023 Wimbledon) favor her. Prediction: Donna Vekic in 3 sets.
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Maria Sakkari
No. 8 seed Ekaterina Alexandrova faces wild card Maria Sakkari in a clash of contrasting styles. Alexandrova, 24-12 in 2025, crushed Belinda Bencic 6-1, 6-2 in the first round, showcasing her eight aces and 73% first-serve point win rate. Sakkari, with a 15-18 record and a shaky 1-2 grass mark this year, edged Yulia Putintseva in a tight opener. Despite Sakkari’s 6-1 head-to-head lead, her grass struggles and Alexandrova’s lethal serving on the surface tilt this match. Prediction: Ekaterina Alexandrova in 2 sets.
Elina Svitolina vs. Beatriz Haddad Maia
Elina Svitolina, with a 30-10 record in 2025, meets Beatriz Haddad Maia after defeating Elise Mertens in straight sets. Svitolina’s grass experience and defensive consistency contrast Haddad Maia’s aggressive play. The Brazilian, coming off a first-round win, has less grass success, with a 1-2 record this season. Svitolina’s 2-0 head-to-head edge and stronger 2025 form make her the favorite. Prediction: Elina Svitolina in 2 sets.
With the winner of Andreeva-Tauson facing Vekic or Noskova in the quarterfinals, Day 4 promises pivotal moments as players vie for momentum heading into Wimbledon.
